I agree the passkey user experience needs work, but man do I enjoy it over the haphazard ‘passwordless’ website login that just sends you an email.
I get it, they’re just skipping an attack vector and basically relying only on ‘2FA’. But now I have to go to a different app/tab, copy a code, and return to the site instead of letting the password manager fill stuff in for me. Some, like kickstarter, let you still have a 2FA code enabled so you have to grab your code from whichever authenticator and go to your email. Really nice login experience out of nowhere one day. \s

They’re better predictors of what people think will happen.
That can correlate with what does happen, but they’re not the same thing. As much as Kalshi et al’s marketing would like to suggest otherwise. They’re not oracles or crystal balls.